No UK recession in 2023 The UK is expected to avoid a technical recession in 2023, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility. But the economy is still expected to shrink by 0.2%. The most common definition of recession is that of a ‘technical recession’ in which there have been twoRead More →
The IMF forecast cast more doubt on the speed of global economic recovery as Covid-19 cases surge in the U.S. and in the America’s. Doubts over U.S. re-opening resurface and investors start to fret again as stocks lose momentum. Outlook downgraded The International Monetary Fund downgraded its outlook for theRead More →
Shocking but no surprise! The UK economy shrank by a record 20.4% in April 2020 due to the damaging affects of lockdown. The monthly decline was outlined in figures reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The GDP fall is three times greater than the decline seen during theRead More →
So, stocks are up and that means all is okay – no I don’t think so. These big stock market bets on economies re-opening quickly and going back to ‘normal’ are likely lulling us in to a false sense of security. We want it to be good again, of courseRead More →
Good news UK and U.S. markets were closed Monday 25th June 2020 – but that didn’t stop European markets roaring ahead yesterday. There are a number of positives for markets to be happy about right now. England is to re-open non-essential shops by mid June. European countries are easing theirRead More →
Bounce, Recession or Depression? As economists, traders, investors, politicians and media pundits talk of economic recovery, many countries have already entered recession. The latest being Japan, the third largest economy in the world. The UK, Germany, France and Italy have all entered technical recessions. ‘V’ or not to ‘V’ ?Read More →
Another rate cut likely – and then what…? How likely is it that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates for the third time in a row as US stock markets touch all time records? The general consensus among market analysts and pundits alike appear to suggest a cut isRead More →
Opinion Are alarm bells ringing or is it just the usual general cyclical market noise? The overall concern to many investors and analysts at the moment is that the global economy has shifted from synchronised growth to one in which expansion is now decreasing. Many of the major countries aroundRead More →
Stock market events scheduled for today likely to move markets China and Germany stock markets closed today. Japan – foreign investment data Australia – balance of trade data Germany – PMI data due UK – PMI service data due EU – retail sales data due U.S. – employment data dueRead More →
What a difference a day makes – or a even a few weeks… Just a few week’s ago, President Trump was ramping up additional tariffs after China retaliated with a return salvo as new tariffs came in to force from both sides on 1st September 2019. Markets fell back afterRead More →